[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":403},["ShallowReactive",2],{"slug-new-short-course-a-guide-to-navigating-potential-futures":3},{"post":4,"relatedPosts":171,"relatedBooks":311},{"id":5,"date":6,"date_gmt":7,"guid":8,"modified":10,"modified_gmt":11,"slug":12,"status":13,"type":14,"link":15,"title":16,"content":18,"excerpt":21,"author":23,"featured_media":24,"comment_status":25,"ping_status":25,"sticky":26,"template":27,"format":28,"meta":29,"categories":30,"tags":32,"project_category":36,"contact_email_category":39,"yst_prominent_words":40,"class_list":49,"better_featured_image":62,"acf":99,"yoast_meta":116,"_links":118},56775,"2024-07-03T09:30:00","2024-07-03T07:30:00",{"rendered":9},"https:\u002F\u002Fmedicalfuturist.com\u002F?post_id=56775&_wpnonce=daf1f810cf&status=auto-draft&type=post","2024-07-04T10:00:38","2024-07-04T08:00:38","new-short-course-a-guide-to-navigating-potential-futures","publish","post","https:\u002F\u002Fmedicalfuturist.com\u002Fnew-short-course-a-guide-to-navigating-potential-futures",{"rendered":17},"New Short Course: A Guide To Navigating Potential Futures",{"rendered":19,"protected":20},"\n\u003Cp>We’ve all been there. The nagging worry about whether we’re doing enough, being enough. Are we as good parents, business owners, or professionals as we should be? Thinking back from the future, will we be happy with what and how we did? \u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>Paradoxically, the quest for certainty can become all-consuming. We pour endless energy into researching the perfect stroller, strategizing for that daunting project, or finding the right words to support a friend facing a sudden, frightening illness. But often, the more we learn, the more overwhelmed we become.  Every piece of advice seems to have an equal and opposite counterpoint.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cfigure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\u003Cdiv class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n\u003Ciframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"The Futures Toolkit: 6 Practical Methods For Envisioning The Future - The Medical Futurist\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.youtube.com\u002Fembed\u002FNqIaE5c_sUY?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen>\u003C\u002Fiframe>\n\u003C\u002Fdiv>\u003C\u002Ffigure>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>So, what if we could approach uncertainty in a way \u003Ca rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fmedicalfuturist.com\u002Fhow-to-predict-the-future-of-healthcare-method-1-forecasting\" target=\"_blank\">that’s productive\u003C\u002Fa>, not paralyzing? What if we \u003Ca rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fmedicalfuturist.com\u002Fhow-to-predict-the-future-of-healthcare-method-2-futures-wheel\" target=\"_blank\">could learn tools\u003C\u002Fa> that actually reduce our anxieties instead of multiplying them?\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cblockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n\u003Cp>That is why I designed this new short course, \u003Ca rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fmedicalfuturist.thinkific.com\u002Fcourses\u002Ffutures\" target=\"_blank\">A Guide To Navigating Potential Futures\u003C\u002Fa>, to teach anyone the best, hands-on methods I practice every day, and help you all become futurists too.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003C\u002Fblockquote>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>Although most of these techniques are not particularly complicated, the future has never been a part of our formal education, and we lack methods to explore it. It is easy to be afraid of the unknown with its vast risks and unforeseen challenges, all it is daunting – often characterized by fear and worry about what might go wrong. Moreover, even knowing what might come doesn’t necessarily grant control over it. After all, the future is something that just happens to us, right? Well, not quite right. \u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cfigure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\">\u003Ca class=\"img\" href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fmedicalfuturist.thinkific.com\u002Fcourses\u002Ffutures\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u003Cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"3167\" height=\"1750\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2024\u002F07\u002F0626_future-methods_cover-v2-03.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-56793\"\u002F\u003C\u002Fa srcset=\"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2024\u002F07\u002F0626_future-methods_cover-v2-03.png 3167w, https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2024\u002F07\u002F0626_future-methods_cover-v2-03-768x424.png 768w, https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2024\u002F07\u002F0626_future-methods_cover-v2-03-1536x849.png 1536w, https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2024\u002F07\u002F0626_future-methods_cover-v2-03-2048x1132.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 3167px) 100vw, 3167px\" \u002F>\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Ffigure>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>It seems so because \u003Cstrong>we are typically stuck in short-term thinking\u003C\u002Fstrong>. \u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>But we can expand our perspective of time, we can go back and forward. We have extensive knowledge of the past and methods to explore it, but the past offers no solution to many modern challenges. However, \u003Cstrong>practical methods do exist that allow us to discover, observe and analyze potential futures\u003C\u002Fstrong>. And you could learn them too! \u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Ch2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Stop thinking about the future and start thinking about futures\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>If I make predictions and some fail, how can you use my next one in your decision-making process? How can you trust me? You cannot.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>But also, you should not. Predictions imply that the future is singular. It is a fixed timeline and you are capable of foreseeing that. In this mindset, the only worthwhile goal is to predict one specific moment ahead of time. \u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>Which is not right, such deterministic thinking will only limit you. \u003Cstrong>In reality, multiple futures exist. The future is a range of possible outcomes shaped by countless variables and decisions made in the present. Different choices, actions, and events can lead to a variety of potential scenarios. \u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cfigure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\">\u003Ca class=\"img\" href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fmedicalfuturist.thinkific.com\u002Fcourses\u002Ffutures\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u003Cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"3167\" height=\"1750\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2024\u002F07\u002F0626_future-methods_cover.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-56803\"\u002F\u003C\u002Fa srcset=\"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2024\u002F07\u002F0626_future-methods_cover.png 3167w, https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2024\u002F07\u002F0626_future-methods_cover-768x424.png 768w, https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2024\u002F07\u002F0626_future-methods_cover-1536x849.png 1536w, https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2024\u002F07\u002F0626_future-methods_cover-2048x1132.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 3167px) 100vw, 3167px\" \u002F>\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Ffigure>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>You can learn “futures methods”, techniques used in business management and economics for decades. These allow us to map out these potential futures, choose the one you like the most, and then find out what you have to do today to increase the chance of a desired future and to even claim yours. This is the goal of this course.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>These techniques can \u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\u003Cli>Provide you with the necessary tools to discover and claim your futures\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>Help you move beyond short-term thinking\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>Help you think about the future without becoming anxious\u003C\u002Fli>\n\u003C\u002Ful>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>In chapter one of the course, you’ll go through \u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\u003Cli>The introduction\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>What do you win by better understanding the future?\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>How to overcome short-term thinking?\u003C\u002Fli>\n\u003C\u002Ful>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>In the second part, you’ll learn different methods with practical exercises: \u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n\u003Cli>Terminology: Let’s speak the same language\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>Intro to Futures Methods\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>Forecasting\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>Vision writing\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>Futures wheel\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>Identifying trends and megatrends\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>Horizon scanning\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>Scenario Analysis and Backcasting\u003C\u002Fli>\n\n\n\n\u003Cli>Implementing future thinking and where to start\u003C\u002Fli>\n\u003C\u002Ful>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>The course includes a variety of materials in 34 lessons: videos, text materials, infographics, written assignments, fun exercises, quizzes, further reading, and LOTS OF examples and case studies. All put together in a way that helps you build a fundamental understanding of the subject. \u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>Remember, the future is not predetermined, it’s not singular. Multiple futures exist and you can learn methods to discover, explore, and analyze them, and at the end, have control over and even change them! \u003Cstrong>\u003Ca rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fmedicalfuturist.thinkific.com\u002Fcourses\u002Ffutures\" target=\"_blank\">With this course\u003C\u002Fa>, you can learn how to claim the ones you like the most, how to claim your futures\u003C\u002Fstrong>. I encourage you to start it, \u003Cstrong>the entire first segment is free\u003C\u002Fstrong>, so you can try it to see if it is for you.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>There were thousands of students in \u003Ca rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fmedicalfuturist.thinkific.com\u002Fcollections\" target=\"_blank\">our previous digital courses\u003C\u002Fa> and I hope we can build a nice community of forward-thinkers here, together.\u003C\u002Fp>\n",false,{"rendered":22,"protected":20},"\u003Cp>Futures methods help us work towards our best possible future. This short course was designed to teach the best techniques anyone can use. \u003C\u002Fp>\n",6,56777,"closed",true,"","standard",{"_acf_changed":20,"footnotes":27},[31],7079,[33,34,35],7927,7963,7971,[37,38],950,952,[],[41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48],1721,3567,4111,4531,4545,5553,5811,1587,[50,14,51,52,53,54,55,56,57,58,59,60,61],"post-56775","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tmf","tag-short-course","tag-futures-methods","tag-online-course","project_category-medical-professionals","project_category-policy-makers",{"id":24,"alt_text":27,"caption":27,"description":27,"media_type":63,"media_details":64,"post":5,"source_url":98},"image",{"width":65,"height":66,"file":67,"filesize":68,"sizes":69,"image_meta":95},1920,1080,"2024\u002F06\u002Ftmf_article_421.png",578791,{"medium":70,"large":77,"thumbnail":83,"medium_large":88,"1536x1536":89},{"file":71,"width":72,"height":73,"mime-type":74,"filesize":75,"source_url":76},"tmf_article_421-370x208.png",370,208,"image\u002Fpng",46482,"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2024\u002F06\u002Ftmf_article_421-370x208.png",{"file":78,"width":79,"height":80,"mime-type":74,"filesize":81,"source_url":82},"tmf_article_421-768x432.png",768,432,127698,"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2024\u002F06\u002Ftmf_article_421-768x432.png",{"file":84,"width":85,"height":85,"mime-type":74,"filesize":86,"source_url":87},"tmf_article_421-150x150.png",150,16179,"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2024\u002F06\u002Ftmf_article_421-150x150.png",{"file":78,"width":79,"height":80,"mime-type":74,"filesize":81,"source_url":82},{"file":90,"width":91,"height":92,"mime-type":74,"filesize":93,"source_url":94},"tmf_article_421-1536x864.png",1536,864,316853,"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2024\u002F06\u002Ftmf_article_421-1536x864.png",{"aperture":96,"credit":27,"camera":27,"caption":27,"created_timestamp":96,"copyright":27,"focal_length":96,"iso":96,"shutter_speed":96,"title":27,"orientation":96,"keywords":97},"0",[],"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2024\u002F06\u002Ftmf_article_421.png",{"cta_type":100,"cta_color":27,"related_posts_footer":101,"related_posts":20,"related_books":105,"subtitle":27,"key_takeaways":109},"subscribe",[102,103,104],56489,17884,56371,[106,107,108],55605,34151,31417,[110,112,114],{"title":111},"\u003Cp>Worrying about the future can be overwhelming, and can even result in anxiety.\u003C\u002Fp>\n",{"title":113},"\u003Cp>There are existing, easy-to-learn techniques that turn futile analysis paralysis into productive strategy, should you need foresight in your professional or personal life.\u003C\u002Fp>\n",{"title":115},"\u003Cp>Our new fast-track course guides you through the best futures methods, so you can use them too.\u003C\u002Fp>\n",{"yoast_wpseo_title":17,"yoast_wpseo_metadesc":117,"yoast_wpseo_canonical":15},"Futures methods help us work towards our best possible life. This short course was designed to teach the best techniques anyone can use.",{"self":119,"collection":125,"about":128,"author":131,"replies":134,"version-history":137,"predecessor-version":141,"wp:featuredmedia":145,"wp:attachment":148,"wp:term":151,"curies":167},[120],{"href":121,"targetHints":122},"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Fposts\u002F56775",{"allow":123},[124],"GET",[126],{"href":127},"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Fposts",[129],{"href":130},"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Ftypes\u002Fpost",[132],{"embeddable":26,"href":133},"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Fusers\u002F6",[135],{"embeddable":26,"href":136},"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Fcomments?post=56775",[138],{"count":139,"href":140},25,"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Fposts\u002F56775\u002Frevisions",[142],{"id":143,"href":144},56867,"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Fposts\u002F56775\u002Frevisions\u002F56867",[146],{"embeddable":26,"href":147},"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Fmedia\u002F56777",[149],{"href":150},"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Fmedia?parent=56775",[152,155,158,161,164],{"taxonomy":153,"embeddable":26,"href":154},"category","https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Fcategories?post=56775",{"taxonomy":156,"embeddable":26,"href":157},"post_tag","https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Ftags?post=56775",{"taxonomy":159,"embeddable":26,"href":160},"project_category","https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Fproject_category?post=56775",{"taxonomy":162,"embeddable":26,"href":163},"contact_email_category","https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Fcontact_email_category?post=56775",{"taxonomy":165,"embeddable":26,"href":166},"yst_prominent_words","https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Fyst_prominent_words?post=56775",[168],{"name":169,"href":170,"templated":26},"wp","https:\u002F\u002Fapi.w.org\u002F{rel}",[172],{"id":104,"date":173,"date_gmt":174,"guid":175,"modified":177,"modified_gmt":178,"slug":179,"status":13,"type":14,"link":180,"title":181,"content":183,"excerpt":185,"author":23,"featured_media":187,"comment_status":25,"ping_status":25,"sticky":26,"template":27,"format":28,"meta":188,"categories":189,"tags":191,"project_category":199,"contact_email_category":200,"yst_prominent_words":201,"class_list":207,"better_featured_image":217,"acf":250,"yoast_meta":266,"_links":269},"2024-06-04T09:30:00","2024-06-04T07:30:00",{"rendered":176},"https:\u002F\u002Fmedicalfuturist.com\u002F?post_id=56371&_wpnonce=d1a8533214&status=auto-draft&type=post","2024-06-03T21:36:14","2024-06-03T19:36:14","would-temperature-control-help-against-chatgpts-hallucinations","https:\u002F\u002Fmedicalfuturist.com\u002Fwould-temperature-control-help-against-chatgpts-hallucinations",{"rendered":182},"Would Temperature Control Help Against ChatGPT’s Hallucinations?",{"rendered":184,"protected":20},"\n\u003Cp>Since the launch of ChatGPT, one of the most significant arguments against the use of large language models (LLMs) has been their \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.lakera.ai\u002Fblog\u002Fguide-to-hallucinations-in-large-language-models\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">tendency to hallucinate\u003C\u002Fa>. Numerous articles and studies have been published addressing this issue, and you can even check the \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fgithub.com\u002Fvectara\u002Fhallucination-leaderboard\u002Ftree\u002Fmain?tab=readme-ov-file\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">regularly updated leaderboard\u003C\u002Fa> showing how models perform.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>With the release of newer versions, like GPT-4o, you might assume that such issues would be nearly nonexistent. \u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cfigure class=\"wp-block-image\">\u003Cimg decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Flh7-us.googleusercontent.com\u002FRYJxTDo0N699Ei3kbw3EWn-H6AQ-jeTto6dgsDmQYc0xihTDMMmHHhI_3yRrLHQ4oJSKPt8pJPVk9kryewl8Qz8WjFKwSajiB9rAVDoYkkfur6wOId_UhQG9fwLRFt2OynD3G52ok59DGzUiL61GfBo\" alt=\"\"\u002F>\u003C\u002Ffigure>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>However, just the other day, we requested citations on a specific topic (AI in diagnostics) from ChatGPT, and despite multiple attempts, it refused to provide a working link. The journal existed when asked to provide the URL, but the cited article did not.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>We set out to test this and got completely mixed results. Under some circumstances, GPT-4o offered valid URLs, while the answers were utterly useless in other cases. \u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>Recently, I came across a great paper: “\u003Ca rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fjournals.plos.org\u002Fdigitalhealth\u002Farticle?id=10.1371\u002Fjournal.pdig.0000503\" target=\"_blank\">Addressing 6 challenges in generative AI for digital health: A scoping review\u003C\u002Fa>” that not only listed the 6 major concerns but also their suggested solutions. The review synthesized 120 articles focusing on generative AI in medicine and determined that the six most pressing problems are bias, privacy, hallucination, and regulatory compliance, and the less well-known issues of overreliance on text models, and adversarial misprompting (or: jailbreaking in layman terms).\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cfigure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\">\u003Cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"768\" height=\"663\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2024\u002F06\u002FGenAI-challenges-e1717420107779-768x663.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-56377\" srcset=\"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2024\u002F06\u002FGenAI-challenges-e1717420107779-768x663.jpg 768w, https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2024\u002F06\u002FGenAI-challenges-e1717420107779-1536x1327.jpg 1536w, https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2024\u002F06\u002FGenAI-challenges-e1717420107779-2048x1769.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \u002F>\u003C\u002Ffigure>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>The suggested solutions to avoid AI hallucinations are knowledge graphs and temperature control. Knowledge graphs are not our topics here, and they are entirely in the developer’s hands, so let’s just quickly summarise them in a few sentences. \u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>A knowledge graph is \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fai.stanford.edu\u002Fblog\u002Fintroduction-to-knowledge-graphs\u002F\">a structured set of information\u003C\u002Fa>. It allows LLMs to verify generated information against established facts and reduce the likelihood of hallucinating. Imagine it as a spatial (3D) object that shows structured data and the relationships and connections between these things. \u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>Here is a super simple example: \u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cfigure class=\"wp-block-image\">\u003Cimg decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Flh7-us.googleusercontent.com\u002Fu_92XdP4SXAGxHI_FnbIiKOkVapZ1dUbjD7dTe-ntUHKGT1KP3r5AQSjmhWHKdgDEM6kE_ZZLC_p8G7e6WL_8aRAW30FvrkUzNYDVuXhhLnbbNqWhNDNZE2kcxl5hrsuEH66FIeiSPE9bNLrg1VrmcE\" alt=\"\"\u002F>\u003C\u002Ffigure>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>In essence, a knowledge graph can act as a safeguard against inaccurate or misleading outputs by providing a foundation of verified information that the LLM can draw upon. This can be particularly important in medical applications where accuracy and reliability are non-negotiable.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>By fortifying models with comprehensive, accurate, and up-to-date structured information, they can spot more easily if something is “out of the ordinary” and will make sure to double-check.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Ch2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why do AI models have a temperature? Can they run a fever?\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>So let’s take a look at the first part of the suggested solution: temperature, starting with the basics.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>\u003Cstrong>In the context of LLMs, temperature is a parameter that influences the balance between predictability and creativity in generated text. \u003C\u002Fstrong>Lower temperatures rely on learned patterns, resulting in more deterministic and factually accurate outputs. Meanwhile, higher temperatures encourage exploration, leading to more diverse and creative, albeit potentially riskier, fabricated responses.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>In essence, the temperature setting acts as a dial that can be adjusted to prioritise either accuracy or creativity, depending on the specific use case. This concept is particularly relevant for medical professionals, who require accuracy and reliability in AI-generated information. \u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>By understanding and potentially manipulating the temperature setting, healthcare providers can better use the power of generative AI while mitigating the risks of hallucinations and other inaccuracies.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>So, there might be a future where we have adjustable sliders to control the “temperature” of LLM responses, especially if companies like OpenAI take note and decide to address this issue. But let’s not wait for that to happen. It’s crucial to understand that this temperature parameter exists and that the quality of responses isn’t necessarily constant.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cfigure class=\"wp-block-image\">\u003Cimg decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Flh7-us.googleusercontent.com\u002FJ-ZMKkqN3d-7sIWg6N44e8mcwelr_TQMqRmb9siGL0NjP6s2u8M9elOnWTm7YoUp6S7w8FJaFjpUQ2RLuwLrXvg3XLSImOwUYMMqaRT8kJeiia1a67yxSCzi3x-XfuJAGq3xTyyUFW4puDk3uU-TG6A\" alt=\"\"\u002F>\u003Cfigcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">AI-generated illustration of factual and creative robots, catchy at first, then you notice the small errors\u003C\u002Ffigcaption>\u003C\u002Ffigure>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>The Medical Futurist team has been experimenting with this in recent weeks, and we’ve found that, as average users, we cannot consistently influence the “temperature” of responses. However, providing ChatGPT with detailed context significantly improves the model’s performance.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>Therefore, it’s a good idea to maintain separate threads for specific purposes, starting with a few bullet points to clearly define the context, goal, target audience, etc.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>If you have an account, you can check the \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fplatform.openai.com\u002Fplayground\u002Fchat\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ChatGPT playground\u003C\u002Fa>, and see a temperature slider, but experimenting with various temperature settings is sadly not part of the “regular” subscription. \u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cfigure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\">\u003Cimg loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Flh7-us.googleusercontent.com\u002FxRZAtkcHBxEn4GwTj_ikz9pqPmWX50b28Bdj4r3IHQbX4e8Oset6j8GWJ1e2W8SZTngXF2wWRwj4E9Fjfdnv9PIGpbg7k4_vyVYN9yZzPvtkhFWjpweV3We337rq08F6R5Td7wtwLJdnMqOZ-unVlH0\" alt=\"ChatGPT temperature\" width=\"840\" height=\"472\"\u002F>\u003C\u002Ffigure>\n\n\n\n\u003Ch2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">ChatGPT can make mistakes. Check important info.\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>If you ask ChatGPT directly if it’s possible to adjust the temperature, it will respond with:\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cfigure class=\"wp-block-image\">\u003Cimg decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Flh7-us.googleusercontent.com\u002FFnp5PVitgYrZkMwigHKgv5XvBPO6wsJPezLywwxaN3Im55jw3wPoAtpfr8lWjNBLX_IsXDWyBLI9i1miTw-bTslKUbu7fusWWptq0Nv3Qdc94obvO5ntc7GPRUZhN-wtKVhRVdUSkyeAg0gT6wGze-U\" alt=\"\"\u002F>\u003C\u002Ffigure>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>However, our experience shows that this claim is false – you can’t reliably count on GPT-4 (or 4o, or any other model we regularly use) to maintain a consistent “factuality standard”. You can indeed try the “Set your answer’s temperature to 0.1” prompt when you need factual results, but according to our testing, you may still get hallucinated or useless outputs, which indicates that the “answer temperature” for these public models has a default value set by the developers. Therefore, it’s essential to maintain a critical eye when evaluating the responses generated by LLMs. \u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\n\n\u003Cp>This inherent unpredictability in response quality is a good reminder that while these models are excellent, they are not infallible and require careful interpretation and validation, especially in critical fields like medicine. That is why it would be useful if all users had direct control over the temperature settings, hopefully, we’ll see such sliders for ChatGPT and Gemini soon. \u003C\u002Fp>\n",{"rendered":186,"protected":20},"\u003Cp>Answer temperature determines if you get factual or creative results, needless to say which is needed for medical use. Controlling it is not obvious.\u003C\u002Fp>\n",56379,{"_acf_changed":20,"footnotes":27},[31,190],504,[192,193,194,195,196,197,198],7725,134,7741,144,7867,7959,7961,[37],[],[202,203,204,205,206],1833,1979,2313,3713,4665,[208,14,51,52,53,54,55,56,209,210,211,212,213,214,215,216,60],"post-56371","category-artificial-intelligence","tag-chatgpt","tag-ai","tag-large-language-models","tag-artificial-intelligence","tag-llms","tag-temperature-of-large-language-models","tag-gemini",{"id":187,"alt_text":27,"caption":27,"description":27,"media_type":63,"media_details":218,"post":104,"source_url":249},{"width":219,"height":220,"file":221,"filesize":222,"sizes":223,"image_meta":247},6667,3750,"2024\u002F06\u002Ftmf_article_416-v3.png",862174,{"medium":224,"large":228,"thumbnail":232,"medium_large":236,"1536x1536":237,"2048x2048":241},{"file":225,"width":72,"height":73,"mime-type":74,"filesize":226,"source_url":227},"tmf_article_416-v3-370x208.png",24660,"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2024\u002F06\u002Ftmf_article_416-v3-370x208.png",{"file":229,"width":79,"height":80,"mime-type":74,"filesize":230,"source_url":231},"tmf_article_416-v3-768x432.png",54565,"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2024\u002F06\u002Ftmf_article_416-v3-768x432.png",{"file":233,"width":85,"height":85,"mime-type":74,"filesize":234,"source_url":235},"tmf_article_416-v3-150x150.png",8820,"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2024\u002F06\u002Ftmf_article_416-v3-150x150.png",{"file":229,"width":79,"height":80,"mime-type":74,"filesize":230,"source_url":231},{"file":238,"width":91,"height":92,"mime-type":74,"filesize":239,"source_url":240},"tmf_article_416-v3-1536x864.png",125266,"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2024\u002F06\u002Ftmf_article_416-v3-1536x864.png",{"file":242,"width":243,"height":244,"mime-type":74,"filesize":245,"source_url":246},"tmf_article_416-v3-2048x1152.png",2048,1152,169905,"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2024\u002F06\u002Ftmf_article_416-v3-2048x1152.png",{"aperture":96,"credit":27,"camera":27,"caption":27,"created_timestamp":96,"copyright":27,"focal_length":96,"iso":96,"shutter_speed":96,"title":27,"orientation":96,"keywords":248},[],"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2024\u002F06\u002Ftmf_article_416-v3.png",{"cta_type":100,"cta_color":27,"related_posts_footer":251,"related_posts":20,"related_books":255,"subtitle":27,"key_takeaways":259},[252,253,254],56253,56163,55995,[256,257,258],24759,24762,37033,[260,262,264],{"title":261},"\u003Cp>Despite advancements in large language models like GPT-4o, issues with AI hallucinations—generating plausible but false information—still exist and can impact reliability in medical diagnostics.\u003C\u002Fp>\n",{"title":263},"\u003Cp>Temperature control, a parameter that influences the balance between creativity and accuracy in LLM outputs, could be a key factor in mitigating hallucinations.\u003C\u002Fp>\n",{"title":265},"\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While precise temperature control is out of reach for the average user, knowing a few tricks can help keep AI chatbots on the path of truth, making them more reliable for everyday use.\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\n",{"yoast_wpseo_title":267,"yoast_wpseo_metadesc":268,"yoast_wpseo_canonical":180},"Would Temperature Control Help Against ChatGPT's Hallucinations?","Answer temperature determines if you get factual or creative results, needless to say which is needed for medical use. Controlling it is not obvious.",{"self":270,"collection":275,"about":277,"author":279,"replies":281,"version-history":284,"predecessor-version":288,"wp:featuredmedia":292,"wp:attachment":295,"wp:term":298,"curies":309},[271],{"href":272,"targetHints":273},"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Fposts\u002F56371",{"allow":274},[124],[276],{"href":127},[278],{"href":130},[280],{"embeddable":26,"href":133},[282],{"embeddable":26,"href":283},"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Fcomments?post=56371",[285],{"count":286,"href":287},13,"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Fposts\u002F56371\u002Frevisions",[289],{"id":290,"href":291},56411,"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Fposts\u002F56371\u002Frevisions\u002F56411",[293],{"embeddable":26,"href":294},"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Fmedia\u002F56379",[296],{"href":297},"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Fmedia?parent=56371",[299,301,303,305,307],{"taxonomy":153,"embeddable":26,"href":300},"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Fcategories?post=56371",{"taxonomy":156,"embeddable":26,"href":302},"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Ftags?post=56371",{"taxonomy":159,"embeddable":26,"href":304},"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Fproject_category?post=56371",{"taxonomy":162,"embeddable":26,"href":306},"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Fcontact_email_category?post=56371",{"taxonomy":165,"embeddable":26,"href":308},"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Fyst_prominent_words?post=56371",[310],{"name":169,"href":170,"templated":26},[312],{"id":108,"date":313,"date_gmt":314,"guid":315,"modified":317,"modified_gmt":318,"slug":319,"status":13,"type":320,"link":321,"title":322,"content":324,"excerpt":326,"author":23,"featured_media":328,"comment_status":25,"ping_status":25,"template":27,"yst_prominent_words":329,"class_list":333,"better_featured_image":336,"acf":354,"yoast_meta":372,"_links":375},"2020-12-02T08:54:13","2020-12-02T07:54:13",{"rendered":316},"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002F?post_type=book&p=31417","2023-03-12T18:17:41","2023-03-12T17:17:41","invest-in-digital-health","book","https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fbooks\u002Finvest-in-digital-health\u002F",{"rendered":323},"Invest In Digital Health – The Medical Futurist’s Guide",{"rendered":325,"protected":20},"\n\u003Cp>Artificial Intelligence and Digital Health are booming. In this book, we explain why now it’s a good time to invest in Digital Health and give recommendations on where to invest by looking at the top 24 technological trends we find the most promising.\u003C\u002Fp>\n",{"rendered":327,"protected":20},"\u003Cp>Artificial Intelligence and Digital Health are booming. In this book, we explain why now it’s a good time to invest in Digital Health and give […]\u003C\u002Fp>\n",49965,[330,331,332],1681,1617,1571,[334,320,335,52,54,55],"post-31417","type-book",{"id":328,"alt_text":27,"caption":27,"description":27,"media_type":63,"media_details":337,"post":108,"source_url":353},{"width":338,"height":339,"file":340,"filesize":341,"sizes":342,"image_meta":351},320,413,"2020\u002F12\u002Finvest-in-digital-health.png",69673,{"medium":343,"thumbnail":347},{"file":344,"width":338,"height":73,"mime-type":74,"filesize":345,"source_url":346},"invest-in-digital-health-320x208.png",31956,"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2020\u002F12\u002Finvest-in-digital-health-320x208.png",{"file":348,"width":85,"height":85,"mime-type":74,"filesize":349,"source_url":350},"invest-in-digital-health-150x150.png",21851,"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2020\u002F12\u002Finvest-in-digital-health-150x150.png",{"aperture":96,"credit":27,"camera":27,"caption":27,"created_timestamp":96,"copyright":27,"focal_length":96,"iso":96,"shutter_speed":96,"title":27,"orientation":96,"keywords":352},[],"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2020\u002F12\u002Finvest-in-digital-health.png",{"buy_button_text":355,"leanpub_url":356,"preview":357},"Get it on Leanpub","https:\u002F\u002Fleanpub.com\u002Fdigital-health-investments",[358,360,362,364,366,368,370],{"image":359},"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2020\u002F12\u002FInvest-In-Digital-Health-Guide-Preview-1-1.png",{"image":361},"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2020\u002F12\u002FInvest-In-Digital-Health-Guide-Preview-2.png",{"image":363},"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2020\u002F12\u002FInvest-In-Digital-Health-Guide-Preview-3.png",{"image":365},"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2020\u002F12\u002FInvest-In-Digital-Health-Guide-Preview-4.png",{"image":367},"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2020\u002F12\u002FInvest-In-Digital-Health-Guide-Preview-5.png",{"image":369},"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2020\u002F12\u002FInvest-In-Digital-Health-Guide-Preview-6.png",{"image":371},"https:\u002F\u002Fcdn.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2020\u002F12\u002FInvest-In-Digital-Health-Guide-Preview-7.png",{"yoast_wpseo_title":373,"yoast_wpseo_metadesc":374,"yoast_wpseo_canonical":321},"Invest In Digital Health - The Medical Futurist's Guide","Investment in digital health: Digital health investment activity is robust in 2020. Read our book to learn more about investing in digital healthcare",{"self":376,"collection":381,"about":384,"author":387,"replies":389,"wp:featuredmedia":392,"wp:attachment":395,"wp:term":398,"curies":401},[377],{"href":378,"targetHints":379},"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Fbook\u002F31417",{"allow":380},[124],[382],{"href":383},"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Fbook",[385],{"href":386},"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Ftypes\u002Fbook",[388],{"embeddable":26,"href":133},[390],{"embeddable":26,"href":391},"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Fcomments?post=31417",[393],{"embeddable":26,"href":394},"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Fmedia\u002F49965",[396],{"href":397},"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Fmedia?parent=31417",[399],{"taxonomy":165,"embeddable":26,"href":400},"https:\u002F\u002Fapi.medicalfuturist.com\u002Fwp-json\u002Fwp\u002Fv2\u002Fyst_prominent_words?post=31417",[402],{"name":169,"href":170,"templated":26},1788949138788]